Hypotheses · Open · Decides 31 Dec 2026 · Abundance still has a power bill
The price of frontier intelligence falls again this quarter
The flagship-tier API price per million output tokens, across the three largest providers (monthly), is lower on 31 Dec 2026 than on 30 Sep 2026 for at least two of the three.
- Resolves by
- 31 Dec 2026
- Confirm
- 2 of 3 lower.
- Kill
- 2 of 3 flat or higher, first quarter toward kill 03.
- Void
- A provider stops publishing list prices.
- Grade
- Desk, from the public price pages, URL snapshotted per entry.
Grade
Open. Resolves by 31 Dec 2026. Blocked: series not wired; grades by the published desk rule when the source publishes.