The Claims · Open · 28 sessions to 30 Nov · Lilly sold 4,928 million of Zepbound in June against 98 million of Foundayo
Staples outperform on risk-off sessions and underperform across the quarter
From 22 Aug to 30 Nov 2026, Consumer Staples outperforms the S&P 500 on sessions where the S&P closes down more than 1%, and underperforms it over the full window.
- Resolves by
- 30 Nov 2026
- Confirm
- Both legs true.
- Kill
- Staples outperform over the full window, the market is paying for calories, not hiding in them.
- Void
- Fewer than 5 sessions with the S&P down more than 1% in the window.
- Grade
- On the 30 Nov closes, from the owned XLP and S&P daily series.
Series · Close Fri 16 Oct
Cons. Staples (XLP) last close
80.33−0.33% · 2026-10-01
S&P 500
7,659.4−1.11%
Cons. Staples (sector, five-day)
+5.02%
Grade
Open. From the owned strip through 1 Oct 2026: 0 risk-off sessions (S&P down more than 1%) so far; full window XLP −6.6% vs S&P +1.8%. Needs 5 qualifying sessions by 30 Nov 2026 to avoid a void; graded on the 30 Nov 2026 closes.