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3 September
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Hypotheses · Open · Decides 30 Jun 2027 · The next layer is still on the ground

A substitute fairing exists

By 30 Jun 2027 at least two of: Neutron flight 1; New Glenn return with a named commercial payload; a Vulcan Leo mission that puts Amazon past 500 operational sats; a publicly disclosed Falcon 9 rideshare opening for 2029 that is not a Starlink dump.

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Resolves by
30 Jun 2027
Confirm
Substitutes exist.
Kill
The book stays in Hawthorne.
Grade

Open. Resolves by 30 Jun 2027. Blocked: series not wired; grades by the published desk rule when the source publishes.

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