Hypotheses · Open · Decides 30 Nov 2026 · Quantum is leaving the lab
Government and academic stay above 60% of revenue
On the Q3 2026 prints, the revenue-weighted government plus academic share across the three largest listed pure-plays is above 60%, by the published classification rule.
- Resolves by
- 30 Nov 2026
- Confirm
- Above 60%.
- Kill
- At or below 60%, commercial is arriving faster than the theme expects.
- Void
- Classification impossible from disclosures for 2 or more names, say so.
- Grade
- Desk, by the published classification rule.
Grade
Open. Resolves by 30 Nov 2026. Blocked: series not wired; grades by the published desk rule when the source publishes.