S&P7,747.7+1.06%

Nasdaq29,482.3+1.16%Stoxx6,382.6+0.32%FTSE10,831.5+0.70%Nikkei64,796.3+0.91%Hang Seng25,752.9+2.14%DXY99.00+0.01%EUR/USD1.1627+0.36%USD/JPY156.38−1.60%GBP/USD1.3527+0.32%Gold4,519.1+0.61%Silver67.37+0.59%WTI91.95+0.71%Brent95.89+0.39%10Y4.76%−3 bpVIX14.32−5.79%S&P7,747.7+1.06%Nasdaq29,482.3+1.16%Stoxx6,382.6+0.32%FTSE10,831.5+0.70%Nikkei64,796.3+0.91%Hang Seng25,752.9+2.14%DXY99.00+0.01%EUR/USD1.1627+0.36%USD/JPY156.38−1.60%GBP/USD1.3527+0.32%Gold4,519.1+0.61%Silver67.37+0.59%WTI91.95+0.71%Brent95.89+0.39%10Y4.76%−3 bpVIX14.32−5.79%S&P7,747.7+1.06%

Hypotheses · Open · Decides 30 Jun 2027 · Quantum is leaving the lab

The next re-rating is down, not up

Between 22 Aug 2026 and 30 Jun 2027, the equal-weighted basket of the three largest listed pure-plays underperforms the Nasdaq 100.

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Resolves by: 30 Jun 2027
Confirm: Basket below the Nasdaq 100 over the window.
Kill: Basket above, the market paid up; the book was right on direction.
Grade: Engine, on the 30 Jun 2027 closes.

This is the hypothesis that directly opposes the position. It is here on purpose.

Series · Close Thu 3 Sep

Nasdaq 100

29,482.3+1.16%

Grade

Open. Resolves by 30 Jun 2027. Grades from the stated sources when the window ends.

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