The Claims
19 October · London & New York
Each one sits on a thesis. The date is when it gets graded. They are not calls.
Thesis
The Commission licences the radio, not the night sky.
Is the night sky a zoned commons, or a filings market the FCC already said it does not police?
- 173 sessions to 30 JunEärendil puts a spot on dirtEärendil-1 is on orbit with a public, metered ground spot (named location, duration, brightness) by 30 Jun 2027.Open.
- 301 sessions to 31 DecThe next published clockA public CRASH Clock update (Boley / named successor, disclosed method) prints at or below 2.0 days by 31 Dec 2027, or lengthens back through 5 days.Open.
- 301 sessions to 31 DecThe million-sat file gets a sky condition — or does notBy 31 Dec 2027 the FCC has either denied SpaceX’s million-sat compute file, or granted it with optical / IR / radio / disposal conditions that withhold operations pending an astronomy assessment, or granted it with no such conditions.Open.
- 553 sessions to 31 DecA commercial scoop holds VLEOA Kreios (or named peer) air-breathing satellite holds 150–300 km for at least 30 days without a chemical dump, by 31 Dec 2028.Open.
- 553 sessions to 31 DecOtter breathes for a yearDARPA Otter (or the Redwire SabreSat air-breathing demonstration) is on orbit for more than one year with a public note that the intake produced usable thrust, by 31 Dec 2028.Open.
Resolved